Why 91 MPH is Better Than 100: Nationals Pitchers Dion & Cruz Break Down Velocity Myth (2026)

Let's talk about the fascinating world of baseball pitching and the intriguing cases of Yovanny Cruz and Will Dion, two new additions to the Nationals' roster. These pitchers offer a unique perspective on what makes a fastball truly effective, and it's not just about speed.

The Velocity Trap

When we think of powerful pitchers, we often imagine flamethrowers like Yovanny Cruz, whose fastball averages a jaw-dropping 100 MPH. But here's the twist: Cruz's velocity hasn't translated into success on the field. Despite his impressive speed, Cruz has struggled with the Nationals, and the reason lies beyond just his command.

Unraveling the Mystery of Movement

What many people don't realize is that a fastball's effectiveness is deeply tied to its movement and shape. Will Dion, with his 'softer' 91 MPH fastball, has proven this point beautifully. Dion's fastball has an exceptional induced vertical break (IVB), which essentially means the ball fights against gravity, creating the illusion of a rising fastball. This unique movement has resulted in an impressive whiff rate of 33.6% on his fastball, outperforming Cruz's triple-digit heater, which has yet to induce a single whiff at the major league level.

Command and Location: The X-Factors

Dion's success isn't just about movement; it's also about command. His ability to consistently locate his fastball in the upper part of the strike zone, where it has the most 'ride,' is a key strategy. In contrast, Cruz's fastball lacks this precision, with his heat map showing a scatter of locations, making it easier for hitters to anticipate and connect.

The Shape of Things to Come

The shape of a fastball is another critical factor. Dion's fastball has a significant rise with minimal tailing, creating an unpredictable path for hitters. Cruz's fastball, on the other hand, has a more predictable trajectory, falling into what's known as a 'dead zone,' where hitters naturally expect the ball to end up.

A New Approach for Cruz?

So, what's the solution for Cruz? I believe he needs to rethink his approach. With his natural tail on the 4-seamer, a sinker could be a great option to induce quick groundouts. Combining this with his slider and splitter could create a formidable arsenal. However, the key is building trust in his pitches, especially his fastball.

The Bigger Picture

The cases of Cruz and Dion highlight a broader trend in baseball. In an era obsessed with velocity, it's easy to overlook the importance of fastball shape and command. These factors can make all the difference between a dominant pitcher and one who struggles. It's a reminder that while speed is exciting, it's just one piece of the pitching puzzle.

So, the next time you watch a game, pay attention to the shape and movement of those fastballs. It might just be the difference between a strikeout and a home run.

Why 91 MPH is Better Than 100: Nationals Pitchers Dion & Cruz Break Down Velocity Myth (2026)

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